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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
TL

Roma
1 - 0
Torino

Abraham (32')
Ibanez (90+2'), Kumbulla (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zima (54')

We said: Roma 2-1 Torino

Roma could have stumbled into some form thanks to the good news story surrounding their win last week and a subsequent European success. While Torino are a match for anyone this season at their headquarters, they do not travel so well, so will be caught out by their hosts' superior forward department. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Torino had a probability of 14.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
RomaDrawTorino
65.28%20.5%14.22%
Both teams to score 47.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19%46.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.93%69.07%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.46%13.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.38%40.62%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.35%44.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34%80.66%
Score Analysis
    Roma 65.27%
    Torino 14.22%
    Draw 20.5%
RomaDrawTorino
1-0 @ 12.09%
2-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 8.06%
3-1 @ 6.5%
4-0 @ 4.03%
4-1 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.62%
5-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.31%
5-1 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 65.27%
1-1 @ 9.75%
0-0 @ 6.05%
2-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 20.5%
0-1 @ 4.88%
1-2 @ 3.93%
0-2 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.06%
1-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 14.22%

Read more!
Read more!


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