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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 12, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico
BL

Torino
2 - 1
Bologna

Sanabria (24'), Soumaoro (69' og.)
Sanabria (56'), Milinkovic-Savic (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Orsolini (79' pen.)
Theate (27'), Soumaoro (68'), Soriano (72'), De Silvestri (82')

We said: Torino 1-2 Bologna

Torino will want to take full advantage of playing on familiar territory on Sunday, particularly having moved clear of the relegation zone. However, we cannot back against the visitors, who we are backing to claim their third away victory in succession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawBologna
50.04%24.25%25.71%
Both teams to score 54.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99%47.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75%69.25%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18%18.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.74%50.26%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61%32.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1%68.9%
Score Analysis
    Torino 50.04%
    Bologna 25.71%
    Draw 24.24%
TorinoDrawBologna
1-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 8.5%
3-1 @ 5.34%
3-0 @ 4.73%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.23%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 50.04%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.24%
0-1 @ 6.87%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 25.71%

Read more!
Read more!


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