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UL
Serie A | Gameweek 6
Nov 1, 2020 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Friuli
ML

Udinese
1 - 2
AC Milan

De Paul (48' pen.)
Becao (24'), Arslan (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kessie (18'), Ibrahimovic (83')
Hernandez (13'), Donnarumma (49')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawAC Milan
21.52%22.78%55.7%
Both teams to score 54.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.14%44.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.78%67.22%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11%34.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37%71.63%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05%15.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.77%45.23%
Score Analysis
    Udinese 21.52%
    AC Milan 55.69%
    Draw 22.78%
UdineseDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 5.86%
2-1 @ 5.66%
2-0 @ 3.09%
3-1 @ 1.99%
3-2 @ 1.82%
3-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 21.52%
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 5.57%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.78%
0-1 @ 10.21%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-2 @ 9.38%
1-3 @ 6.04%
0-3 @ 5.74%
2-3 @ 3.18%
1-4 @ 2.77%
0-4 @ 2.63%
2-4 @ 1.46%
1-5 @ 1.02%
0-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 55.69%


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