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UL
Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 18, 2020 at 5pm UK
Dacia Arena
PL

Udinese
3 - 2
Parma

Samir (28'), Iacoponi (52' og.), Pussetto (88')
Becao (32'), Arslan (44'), Makengo (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hernani (26'), Karamoh (70')
Brugman (57'), Iacoponi (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawParma
40.02%27.05%32.93%
Both teams to score 50.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07%54.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.78%76.22%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11%26.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79%62.21%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81%31.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.47%67.53%
Score Analysis
    Udinese 40.01%
    Parma 32.93%
    Draw 27.05%
UdineseDrawParma
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 8.43%
2-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 40.01%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.39%
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.77%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-2 @ 5.69%
1-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 32.93%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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