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FL
Serie A | Gameweek 5
Oct 25, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
UL

Fiorentina
3 - 2
Udinese

Castrovilli (11', 51'), Milenkovic (21')
Castrovilli (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Okaka (43', 86')
Arslan (41'), Pussetto (66'), Becao (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawUdinese
52.57%24.23%23.21%
Both teams to score 52.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.84%49.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77%71.23%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34%18.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.01%49.99%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28%35.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51%72.49%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 52.56%
    Udinese 23.21%
    Draw 24.22%
FiorentinaDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 9.39%
3-1 @ 5.41%
3-0 @ 5.26%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 52.56%
1-1 @ 11.51%
0-0 @ 6.67%
2-2 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.22%
0-1 @ 6.86%
1-2 @ 5.93%
0-2 @ 3.53%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 23.21%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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