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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
BL

Lecce
1 - 1
Bologna

Piccoli (90+10' pen.)
Ramadani (45'), Pongracic (84'), Sansone (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lykogiannis (68')
Saelemaekers (50'), Calafiori (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-2 Lecce
Monday, November 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Torino
Monday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Bologna

It will be intriguing to see if Bologna can maintain this fantastic start which has them in the running for the top four, but they are still yet to win away from home this season. Over two-thirds of Lecce's points have come at home, and the likes of Milan and Lazio have been unable to win here, so another Bologna away draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LecceDrawBologna
41.59% (2.343 2.34) 26.97% (0.98 0.98) 31.44% (-3.318 -3.32)
Both teams to score 50.1% (-3.998 -4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.01% (-4.713 -4.71)54.99% (4.717 4.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.74% (-4.035 -4.04)76.26% (4.04 4.04)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (-0.90599999999999 -0.91)26.07% (0.91 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.88% (-1.234 -1.23)61.12% (1.239 1.24)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-4.52 -4.52)32.24% (4.525 4.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (-5.45 -5.45)68.74% (5.454 5.45)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.59%
    Bologna 31.44%
    Draw 26.97%
LecceDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.3% (1.676 1.68)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.956 0.96)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.35 0.35)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.333 -0.33)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.59%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.45 0.45)
0-0 @ 8.41% (1.432 1.43)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.599 -0.6)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.566 0.57)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.682 -0.68)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.357 -0.36)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.657 -0.66)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.424 -0.42)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.501 -0.5)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-2 Lecce
Monday, November 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-2 AC Milan
Saturday, November 11 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-1 Lecce
Sunday, November 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-4 Parma
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Torino
Saturday, October 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Lecce
Monday, October 23 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Torino
Monday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Bologna
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Lazio
Friday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Hellas Verona
Tuesday, October 31 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Bologna
Saturday, October 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Frosinone
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A


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