On the last eight occasions Udinese have hosted this equivalent fixture, both teams have always scored - averaging nearly four goals per game between them. It could be a more closely contested affair this week, though, as the improving home side are unbeaten in five league matches - Atalanta may have to settle for a draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-1.26) 
1.26) 
