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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
UL

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Udinese

Calhanoglu (37' pen.), Dimarco (42'), Thuram (44'), Martinez (84')
Inzaghi (36')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ferreira (13'), Cioffi (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Udinese

With defensive injuries mounting up, Inter boss Simone Inzaghi will be keen to take care of business against Serie A strugglers Udinese without taking too much of a toll on his squad. The Nerazzurri can take a stranglehold of the game by scoring at least once in the first half, then cruise towards win number 12 of their league campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.19%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 10.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.93%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawUdinese
71.19% (0.11500000000001 0.12) 18.03% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 10.78% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.67% (0.050999999999995 0.05)44.33% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.29% (0.048999999999999 0.05)66.7% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.85% (0.045000000000002 0.05)11.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.39% (0.096999999999994 0.1)35.61% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.21% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)48.78% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.2% (-0.064 -0.06)83.8% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 71.18%
    Udinese 10.78%
    Draw 18.03%
Inter MilanDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 13.08% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.93%
3-0 @ 9.57% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 5.25% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.3% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 71.18%
1-1 @ 8.57% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.03%
0-1 @ 3.9% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 10.78%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Napoli 0-3 Inter Milan
Sunday, December 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Benfica 3-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Frosinone
Sunday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salzburg 0-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, November 4 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 3-3 Hellas Verona
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-1 Udinese
Sunday, November 26 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Atalanta
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Udinese
Saturday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Cagliari
Wednesday, November 1 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Udinese
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Serie A


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