In the last five Serie A meetings between Bologna and Roma, only three goals have been scored, while both clubs are inside this term's top six for fewest shots on target conceded. With the stakes fairly high, given their close proximity in the table, a stalemate may be the likeliest outcome.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.8) 
