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LL
Serie A | Gameweek 31
Jul 7, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Via del Mare
LL

Lecce
2 - 1
Lazio

Babacar (30'), Lucioni (47')
Donati (43'), Gabriel (56'), Petriccione (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Caicedo (5')
Caicedo (22'), Radu (44'), Immobile (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 54.05%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.21%) and 0-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawLazio
24.59%21.36%54.05%
Both teams to score 63.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.3%34.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.34%56.66%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34%26.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09%61.91%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87%13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48%39.52%
Score Analysis
    Lecce 24.59%
    Lazio 54.05%
    Draw 21.36%
LecceDrawLazio
2-1 @ 6.18%
1-0 @ 4.58%
2-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.78%
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 24.59%
1-1 @ 9.35%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 3.47%
3-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.36%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-2 @ 7.21%
0-1 @ 7.07%
1-3 @ 6.49%
0-3 @ 4.91%
2-3 @ 4.29%
1-4 @ 3.31%
0-4 @ 2.5%
2-4 @ 2.19%
1-5 @ 1.35%
0-5 @ 1.02%
3-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 54.05%


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