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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Jul 19, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Luigi Ferraris
LL

Genoa
2 - 1
Lecce

Sanabria (7'), Gabriel (81' og.)
Lerager (15'), Romero (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mancosu (60')
Petriccione (35'), Saponara (44'), Lucioni (52')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Genoa in this match.

Result
GenoaDrawLecce
50.69%23.69%25.61%
Both teams to score 56.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.36%44.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33%67.01%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.33%17.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.71%48.29%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8%31.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46%67.54%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 50.7%
    Lecce 25.61%
    Draw 23.69%
GenoaDrawLecce
2-1 @ 9.65%
1-0 @ 9.56%
2-0 @ 8.28%
3-1 @ 5.57%
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 2.42%
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 50.7%
1-1 @ 11.13%
2-2 @ 5.62%
0-0 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 6.48%
0-1 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 25.61%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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