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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
PL

Bologna
4 - 1
Parma

Soriano (16', 30'), Skov Olsen (56'), Palacio (90+1')
Sansone (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hernani (67')
Kucka (60'), Laurini (70')
Iacoponi (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Parma had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawParma
54.44%24.08%21.47%
Both teams to score 50.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.64%50.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7%72.29%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6%18.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46%49.53%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.96%38.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.19%74.8%
Score Analysis
    Bologna 54.43%
    Parma 21.47%
    Draw 24.08%
BolognaDrawParma
1-0 @ 11.84%
2-0 @ 10.02%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-0 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 54.43%
1-1 @ 11.45%
0-0 @ 7%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.76%
1-2 @ 5.53%
0-2 @ 3.27%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 21.47%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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