For all their troubles, Udinese have proved tough to beat on Friulian soil this term, so are set to seize their chance to pull further away from the drop zone against a Samp side which does not travel well. The home side have a couple of tricky fixtures to follow this match, before a series of battles with bottom-half counterparts, so will be doubly keen to take the initiative. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Udinese in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Udinese.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Sampdoria
51.86%	25.49%	22.65%

Both teams to score 47.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.39%

54.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.05%

75.95%

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.91%

21.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.09%

53.91%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.71%

39.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.01%

75.99%

Score Analysis

Udinese 51.85%

Sampdoria 22.65%

Draw 25.48%

Udinese	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 12.89% 2-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 4.87% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.85%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 7.74% 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.36% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.43% Total : 22.65%