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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
UL

Sampdoria
2 - 1
Udinese

Candreva (67' pen.), Torregrossa (81')
Askildsen (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Paul (55')
Zeegelaar (62')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sampdoria in this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawUdinese
43.32%24.04%32.63%
Both teams to score 60.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.98%42.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.58%64.42%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.38%19.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.43%51.56%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96%25.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28%59.71%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 43.32%
    Udinese 32.63%
    Draw 24.04%
SampdoriaDrawUdinese
2-1 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 8%
2-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 4.9%
3-0 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 43.32%
1-1 @ 11.07%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-1 @ 6.8%
0-2 @ 4.71%
1-3 @ 3.54%
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.17%
1-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.63%

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