Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alessandria win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alessandria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
