Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 71.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 10.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.44%) and 3-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
4.31) 
-1.69) 
