Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 48.57%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
