Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.01) 
