Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Benevento win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brescia in this match.
-0.64) 
0.34) 
