Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 47.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.05) 
