SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benevento | Draw | Ascoli |
49.71% ( -0.16) | 25.78% ( -0.03) | 24.51% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.02% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.84% ( 0.25) | 54.15% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.43% ( 0.21) | 75.57% ( -0.21) |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( 0.03) | 21.82% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.97% ( 0.05) | 55.03% ( -0.06) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.7% ( 0.31) | 37.29% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.92% ( 0.3) | 74.08% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benevento | Draw | Ascoli |
| 1-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.51% |
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