Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
1.07) 
-1.39) 
