Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 52.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Como had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
0.2) 
-0.08) 
