Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Como had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brescia in this match.