Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
-0.59) 
0.11) 
