Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Como had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cagliari in this match.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
