Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
0.01) 
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