Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
