Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Bari had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Bari
41.67% ( -2.22)	27.29% ( 0.28)	31.04% ( 1.94)

Both teams to score 48.98% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.66% (

-0.34)

56.33% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.63% (

-0.28)

77.36% (

0.27)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35% (

-1.31)

26.65% (

1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.11% (

-1.76)

61.89% (

1.76)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.77% (

1.26)

33.22% (

-1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.16% (

1.37)

69.83% (

-1.37)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 41.66%

Bari 31.04%

Draw 27.29%

Cagliari	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.66%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.42) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.04%