Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Como had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
