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CL
Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 5, 2022 at 4.45pm UK
Sardegna Arena
PL

Cagliari
3 - 2
Perugia

Altare (2'), Lapadula (80' pen.), Viola (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Melchiorri (32'), Di Serio (67')
Iannoni (23'), Righetti (63'), Angori (90+4')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Cagliari and Perugia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 6-2 Cagliari
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Brescia 3-2 Perugia
Saturday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
CagliariDrawPerugia
29.88% (-1.192 -1.19) 24.94% (-0.869 -0.87) 45.17% (2.061 2.06)
Both teams to score 55.79% (2.243 2.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.72% (3.196 3.2)47.28% (-3.196 -3.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (2.897 2.9)69.5% (-2.898 -2.9)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.6% (0.794 0.79)29.4% (-0.796 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.61% (0.962 0.96)65.39% (-0.96299999999999 -0.96)
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (2.312 2.31)20.97% (-2.312 -2.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (3.485 3.49)53.73% (-3.488 -3.49)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 29.88%
    Perugia 45.17%
    Draw 24.94%
CagliariDrawPerugia
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.871 -0.87)
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.62% (-0.421 -0.42)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.162 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 29.88%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.48 -0.48)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.865 -0.86)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.283 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.159 0.16)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.608 -0.61)
1-2 @ 9.21% (0.267 0.27)
0-2 @ 7.52% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.79% (0.45 0.45)
0-3 @ 3.92% (0.289 0.29)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.333 0.33)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.289 0.29)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.207 0.21)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.198 0.2)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 45.17%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Leeds 6-2 Cagliari
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 Inter Milan
Sunday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Cagliari
Sunday, May 8 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-2 Hellas Verona
Saturday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Cagliari
Sunday, April 24 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Brescia 3-2 Perugia
Saturday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie B
Last Game: Perugia 1-0 Monza
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 1-0 Perugia
Saturday, April 30 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Perugia 2-1 Parma
Monday, April 25 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Vicenza 1-2 Perugia
Monday, April 18 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Perugia 1-1 Pisa
Sunday, April 10 at 5pm in Serie B


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