Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
1.51) 
-1.61) 
