Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 44.73%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 27.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Ternana win it was 1-0 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
-1.25) 
0.7) 
