Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 64.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
-0.79) 
0.39) 
