Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 54.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Como had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
