Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
-0.54) 
0.28) 
