Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
