Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Como had a probability of 25.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
