Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
