Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 40%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
