Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 54.92%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
