Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Alessandria had a probability of 18.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for an Alessandria win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
