Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
