Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 16.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
5.6) 
-1.68) 
