Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 16.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Ternana
61.5% ( 5.6)	21.83% ( -1.68)	16.68% ( -3.92)

Both teams to score 49.36% (

-1.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.22% (

1.26)

47.78% (

-1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.03% (

1.15)

69.97% (

-1.15)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.97% (

2.35)

15.03% (

-2.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.49% (

4.27)

43.51% (

-4.27)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.09% (

-3.73)

41.91% (

3.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.65% (

-3.42)

78.35% (

3.41)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 61.49%

Ternana 16.68%

Draw 21.83%

Frosinone	Draw	Ternana
1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 11.31% ( 1.16) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 7.15% ( 1.22) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.51) 4-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.79) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.45) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.38) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.34% Total : 61.49%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.79) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.43) Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.83%	0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.91) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.87) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.69) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.42) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.27) Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.68%