Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Frosinone in this match.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Frosinone
33.48% ( 0.03)	28.25% ( 0.01)	38.27% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 46.86% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.68% (

-0.03)

59.31% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.28% (

-0.03)

79.71% (

0.02)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.94% (

33.06% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.35% (

69.65% (

-0.01)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70% (

-0.04)

30% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.88% (

-0.05)

66.12% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 33.48%

Frosinone 38.27%

Draw 28.24%

Ascoli	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.48%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.24%	0-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 38.27%