SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ternana in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ternana | Draw | Cagliari |
38.56% ( -0.27) | 27.19% ( -0) | 34.25% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 50.16% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.75% ( 0.05) | 55.24% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.53% ( 0.05) | 76.47% ( -0.04) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% ( -0.13) | 27.85% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.54% ( -0.16) | 63.46% ( 0.17) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% ( 0.21) | 30.47% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.31% ( 0.24) | 66.69% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ternana | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.56% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 34.25% |
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