Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Reggina win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
