SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 72.88%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 9.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.23%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
72.88% ( -0.22) | 17.73% ( 0.27) | 9.39% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 41.33% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.95% ( -1.3) | 47.05% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.71% ( -1.22) | 69.3% ( 1.23) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.54% ( -0.42) | 11.46% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.72% ( -0.91) | 36.28% ( 0.91) |
| Cosenza Calcio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.67% ( -0.94) | 53.33% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.15% ( -0.6) | 86.85% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
| 2-0 @ 14.33% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 13.23% ( 0.49)3-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.17% Total : 72.86% | 1-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.47% Total : 17.73% | 0-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.73% Total : 9.39% |
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