Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.23%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	Genoa
44.23% ( 0.02)	27.97% ( 0.51)	27.8% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 45.48% (

-1.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.99% (

-2.03)

60% (

2.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.76% (

-1.58)

80.24% (

1.57)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.99% (

-0.93)

27.01% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.64% (

-1.23)

62.36% (

1.23)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.31% (

-1.55)

37.69% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.53% (

-1.54)

74.46% (

1.54)

Score Analysis

Parma 44.22%

Genoa 27.8%

Draw 27.96%

Parma	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 13.32% ( 0.66) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.88% Total : 44.22%	1-1 @ 13% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.69% Total : 27.8%