Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.23%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.54) 
