Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.05) 
